source: documentation/planning/priorities.tex @ 2677

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Updated planning doc

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1%FIXME: Take stuff from future_directions.txt and wiki
2       
3\documentclass[11pt]{report}
4
5\title{AnuGA Inundation Modelling Project - Planning and Priorities - Draft}
6\author{Ole Nielsen, Duncan Gray, Jane Sexton, Nick Bartzis,\\ Trevor Dhu, Neil Corby, Stephen Roberts, ...}
7
8
9\date{7 April, 2006}            % update before release!
10                                % Use an explicit date so that reformatting
11                                % doesn't cause a new date to be used.  Setting
12                                % the date to \today can be used during draft
13                                % stages to make it easier to handle versions.
14
15%\release{1.0}                  % release version; this is used to define the
16                                % \version macro
17
18\makeindex                      % tell \index to actually write the .idx file
19
20\begin{document}
21\maketitle
22
23\section*{Overview}
24
25The ANUGA inundation modelling project is a collaborative effort between
26 Geoscience Australia (GA) and the Australian National University
27 (ANU). GA is largely responsible for the software development,
28 applications to scenario and risk modelling projects as well as
29 contributions to the Australian National Research Priorities. 
30 ANU is mainly responsible for the mathematical and numerical modelling approach and the continued development of the model.
31 
32 
33 This
34 document outlines the agreed priorities for the inundation modelling
35 project predominantly seen from the GA perspective, but including the ANU where appropriate.
36 Priorities are organised into three separate streams focusing at the following objectives:
37 \begin{enumerate} 
38   \item Deliverables of specific case studies. These are typically
39   tasks that are requested by GA's clients.
40   \item Research topics that have emerged and would advance the
41   understanding of the science of hydrodynamic inundation
42   \item Development and maintenance issues that are necessary for the
43   continued health of the software itself.
44\end{enumerate} 
45where the first is primarily resourced by Jane Sexton and Nick Bartzis, the second by Stephen Roberts and Ole Nielsen, while the third is the responsibility of Ole Nielsen and Duncan Gray. Significant overlaps are expected and names assigned to tasks are tentative only.
46
47Overarching these three streams is a fourth stream, management, which covers coordination of the FESA project and management of the inundation modelling team.
48
49\section*{Specific case studies (production)}
50
51
52
53The list in order of importance but subject to availability of
54topographic data and URS/MOST input is
55
56\begin{enumerate} 
57  \item Continual work on WA localities, in particular
58  \item Onslow, WA. This study mainly supports the FESA funded WA study, but has synergies with
59    projects in other lists as well (Jane, Ole, Nick)
60  \item Wrap up Sydney (Benfield) project including refinements and damage modelling.
61    This project has synergies with the ANUGA Demo initiative (Everyone)
62  \item Port Hedland. Also part of the WA project. (Jane, Nick)
63  \item Rerun Wollongong with slump (pending better defition of slump sizes) (Nick, Adrian), 2-3 weeks
64  \item NSW state study  (deferred until 2007 - Matt)
65  \item SE Qld study
66  \item Hobart
67  \item Other study areas may be identified when the national hazard map has been completed (expected
68within the next 12 months) and consultation has occurred with stakeholders.
69\end{enumerate}
70Given that the production line is in a start-up phase and the needs
71outlined in the research and development streams, only priority 1 and
722 are guaranteed to complete before 30 June 2006. However, once
73streamlined, we expect a production rate of about one scenario per
74month.
75
76
77
78\section*{Research topics}
79
80The list is
81
82\begin{enumerate} 
83  \item Sensitivity study using Onslow project (Jane, Ole)
84  \item Validation (Ole et al with David Burbidge \& Tom Baldock UQ). Also PDC and Suva data.
85  \item Comparison of MOST and ANUGA over a stretch of deep water. Also, where to pick up boundary condition.
86  \item Momentum sink study (Duncan)
87  \item Submarine landslide modelling paper with Dr Mueller or Russell Blong (Ask him), Sydney (Jane, Ole, Adrian, Matt). Perhaps use Wollongong as the study area. 
88  \item Probabilistic integration with URS model, pending URS data (Ole, Trevor).  Ask PDC. 
89  \item Automatic definition of mesh-resolution based on data (e.g. depth or gradients). Perhaps use wavelet transforms. Stephen has a link to a researcher at Imperial College, London.
90  \item Investigate behaviour near steep and shallow bathymetries, where artifitial fluxes may be generated.
91  \item Effect of debris on flow and damage (Under way at JCU - shawn)
92  \item Write ANUGA in term of latitudes and longitudes
93  \item Incorporate coriolis effect for large study areas
94  \item Revive storm surge model (Rosh DNR)
95  \item Riverine flooding (Rosh DNR)
96  \item Collaboration with Hans Peter ?? (Stephen Roberts)
97  \item Solution uncertainty (interaction with Hugh Durrant-Whyte and
98  Suresh Kumar from USyd)
99  \item Scenario database (future); this could complement the ATWS
100 operational centre. (how often would it need to be updated, i.e how
101 long will the results remain valid?  eg, effect of sediment transport
102 affecting local bathymetry, change in sea levels due to climate
103 change). This is a product for the ATWS, states and EMA.
104\end{enumerate}
105No more than priority 1-4 are expected to complete before 30 June 2006.
106
107
108\section*{Development and maintenance issues.}
109
110The list is
111
112\begin{enumerate} 
113  \item Bug fixing (see tickets in TRAC) - ongoing (Duncan \& Ole)
114  \item Integrated damage modelling (Nick?)
115  \item Streamlined end-to-end process including production management of files (Ole, Neil, Nick, Jane, Duncan)
116  \item Map2PDF vs ArcReader (Neil)
117  \item Easy interface to building regions of variable resolution (Duncan)
118  \item Sydney demo (Jane, Duncan, Ole) - Ask
119  \item Deploy parallel version (Ole, Nick)
120  \item Userguide, technical documentation and installation process (Everyone)
121  \item OSS License (Ole)
122  \item Visualisation (Nick, Ole)
123  \begin{itemize}
124    \item Hand crafted using Houdini
125    \item Take Swollen-viewer further, e.g.\ by colour coding quantitios or applying contour plots
126  \end{itemize}
127 
128\end{enumerate}
129It is the hope that most of these priorities will be adressed before 30 June 2006.
130
131
132\section*{Roles and responsibilities}
133
134
135This is a first cut only. Please comment!
136
137
138\subsection*{Inundation modelling team}
139\begin{enumerate} 
140  \item \textbf{Duncan}: Take responsibility for the code development and maintenance.
141  Represent the inundation modelling project in the corporate IM context.     
142  Take responsibility for one or more research projects, and contribute to production on a needs basis. 
143  \item \textbf{Jane}: Coordinate FESA production project, take responsibility for one or
144  more research projects and contribute to production and code development on a needs basis. In the longer term, maintenance of other stakeholder relationships (?).
145  \item \textbf{Nick}: Take responsibility for the production stream, develop visualisation techniques,
146  and contribute to code development on a needs basis.
147  \item \textbf{Ole}: Coordinate the inundation modelling project.
148  Manage the balance and requirements between the research, development and production stream.
149  Take responsibility for the code development and maintenance as well as one or more research projects.
150  Contribute to production on a needs basis.   
151\end{enumerate}
152
153
154\subsection*{Stakeholders}
155\begin{enumerate} 
156  \item \textbf{Adrian or Monica}: Provide input to submarine landslide research.
157  \item \textbf{Hamish}: Coordinate collection and supply of topographic data.   
158  \item \textbf{Neil and Ingo}: Coordinate development of GIS decision tool.
159    Assist with collection and supply of topographic data. 
160  \item \textbf{Stephen}: Contribute to research and further development of hydrodynamic model.   
161  \item \textbf{Trevor}: Develop new engagements with external stakeholders such as state governments. 
162  \item \textbf{Lisa}: Arcview exposure database with Neil
163 
164  \item Others?
165\end{enumerate}
166   
167\subsection*{Potential contacts}
168
169\begin{itemize} 
170  \item Lex Nielsen from SMEC in order to explore
171    how they can get involved
172  \item Lutz Grosz from ACcESS
173  \item Tom Baldock UQ
174  \item Tariq Rahiman (tir14@student.canterbury.ac.nz, tariq@mrd.gov.fj) (Suva scenario)
175  \item Allen L. Clark PDC (aclark@pdc.org)
176  \item Roy Walters, NIWA (tsunami modelling)
177  \item Ray Steedman, WA oceanography (By way of Norm Schramm)
178  \item Rosh Ranasinghe (DPNR)
179  \item Suresh Kumar (ACFR)
180\end{itemize}     
181
182   
183\subsection*{Resources}   
184   
185The allocation to the different streams from the core inundation modelling team in terms of
1864 full time equivalents (FTE) are
187
188\begin{itemize} 
189\item \textbf{Production}: 1.25 FTE  (Mainly Nick)
190\item \textbf{Research}: 1 FTE
191\item \textbf{Code development and maintenance}: 1 FTE
192\item \textbf{Management}: 0.75 FTE (0.5 WA-FESA Project coordination, 0.25 TEAM)
193\end{itemize}
194
195
196\chapter{Detailed planning}
197
198\section{Validation of ANUGA}
199
200\subsection{Laboratory Data}
20125 July 2005: Benchmark data from wave tank experiments
202were deemed suitable for
203initial validation exercises and we should proceed with these
204immediately using the existing acquired datasets.  In addition, data
205from vertical wall run-ups will be relevant.  Andrew's letter to key
206players regarding other existing laboratory datasets is deemed
207extremely valuable and should go ahead.
208This has now completed in the form of the Okushiri island validation
209
2107 April 2006: Next exercise along these lines seems to be wavetank
211data from UQ as conducted by Tom Baldock et al. These experiments
212include friction. Duncan will visit Tom in May and possibly conduct a
213validation project depending on his findings.
214
215
216
217\subsection{Historical Data}
218Andrew McPherson has contacted relevant organisations regarding sources and
219availability of existing post-tsunami field survey data.  We agreed
220that a scenario from e.g. Banda Aceh or Thailand (Phuket)
221demonstrating the detailed effect of bathymetric variations would be
222an ideal study and could form the basis of a scientific paper. Matt is
223considering whether this would fit into his research priorities.
224
225Promising leads are
226\begin{itemize}
227  \item Suva data (Tariq)
228  \item Boxing day event conducted by the Grilli and Asavanant (Stephen Roberts). This has been flagged as a \$15K ANU project in FY 6/7
229  \item The Connection to Sri Lanka (John Schneider)
230\end{itemize}
231
232 
233\subsection{Other}
234Validation against analytical solutions is well under way and
235is considered an integral component of the validation process.
236The same is true for the Lake Merimbula tidal validation project.
237Stephen, John Jakeman and Chris are looking after these.
238
239
240   
241
242\section{Potential joint PhD projects (GA and ANU)}
243Ole to investigate if GA would fund a PhD student: Project could be
244"Algorithms for augmentation of unstructured grids" or "Algorithms for
245unification of geodesic systems in unstructured grids" the latter
246capturing the notion of being able to model the synoptic, deep water
247wave propagation in latitudes and longitudes with a seemless connection
248to detailed modelling using UTM projections.
249A PhD scholarship is worth about \$20K per annum.
250
2517 April 2006: We are putting \$10K in the 06-07 budget.
252
253
254\section{Long term aim}
255
256We agreed that having a detailed, reproducible and validated
257inundation scenario from the Boxing Day Tsunami running in parallel
258(and being faster than the sequential code) would be a worthwhile goal.   
259   
260   
261\end{document}
262
263
264
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