source: documentation/planning/priorities.tex @ 3439

Last change on this file since 3439 was 3439, checked in by duncan, 18 years ago

update

File size: 19.0 KB
Line 
1%FIXME: Take stuff from future_directions.txt and wiki
2       
3\documentclass[11pt]{report}
4\usepackage{graphicx}
5
6\title{AnuGA Inundation Modelling Project - Planning and Priorities - Draft}
7\author{Ole Nielsen, Duncan Gray, Jane Sexton, Nick Bartzis,\\ Trevor Dhu, Neil Corby, Stephen Roberts, ...}
8
9
10\date{\today}             % update before release!
11                                % Use an explicit date so that reformatting
12                                % doesn't cause a new date to be used.  Setting
13                                % the date to \today can be used during draft
14                                % stages to make it easier to handle versions.
15
16%\release{1.0}                  % release version; this is used to define the
17                                % \version macro
18
19\makeindex                      % tell \index to actually write the .idx file
20
21\begin{document}
22\maketitle
23
24\section*{Overview}
25
26The ANUGA inundation modelling project is a collaborative effort between
27 Geoscience Australia (GA) and the Australian National University
28 (ANU). GA is largely responsible for the software development,
29 applications to scenario and risk modelling projects as well as
30 contributions to the Australian National Research Priorities. 
31 ANU is mainly responsible for the mathematical and numerical modelling approach and the continued development of the model.
32 
33 
34 This
35 document outlines the agreed priorities for the inundation modelling
36 project predominantly seen from the GA perspective, but including the ANU where appropriate.
37 Priorities are organised into three separate streams focusing at the following objectives:
38 \begin{enumerate} 
39   \item Deliverables of specific case studies. These are typically
40   tasks that are requested by GA's clients.
41   \item Research topics that have emerged and would advance the
42   understanding of the science of hydrodynamic inundation
43   \item Development and maintenance issues that are necessary for the
44   continued health of the software itself.
45\end{enumerate} 
46where the first is primarily resourced by Jane Sexton and Nick Bartzis, the second by Stephen Roberts and Ole Nielsen, while the third is the responsibility of Ole Nielsen and Duncan Gray. Significant overlaps are expected and names assigned to tasks are tentative only.
47
48Overarching these three streams is a fourth stream, management, which covers coordination of the FESA project and management of the inundation modelling team.
49
50\section*{Specific case studies (production)}
51
52
53
54The list in order of importance but subject to availability of
55topographic data and URS/MOST input is
56
57\begin{enumerate} 
58  \item Onslow, WA - end of June 06. This study mainly supports the
59    FESA funded WA study, but has synergies with projects in other
60    lists as well (Nick)
61  \item Complete Sydney (Benfield) project (Jane). Refinements have
62    included addressing water loss through the form of the surface
63    elevation function, boundary conditions, friction creep and issues
64    with ill-conditioned system as a result of a complex internal
65    polygon. Whilst a protection has been put in place for friction
66    creep, the issue is still outstanding. Final results will be
67    delivered to Benfield by Fri 28 April noting the friction issue
68    is still outstanding.  This project has synergies with the ANUGA
69    Demo initiative (Everyone)
70  \item Port Hedland - end of June 06. Also part of the WA project. (Nick)
71  \item Rerun Wollongong with slump (pending better defition of slump sizes) (Nick, Adrian), 2-3 weeks
72  \item NSW state study  (deferred until 2007 - Matt)
73  \item SE Qld study
74  \item Hobart (2007). Trevor Dhu has arranged for TAFI to provide bathymetric data to a 50m contour plus a 25m DEM. Apparently, even better DEM data is available.
75  \item Other study areas may be identified when the national hazard map has been completed (expected
76within the next 12 months) and consultation has occurred with stakeholders.
77\end{enumerate}
78Given that the production line is in a start-up phase and the needs
79outlined in the research and development streams, only priority 1 to 3
80are guaranteed to complete before 30 June 2006. However, once
81streamlined, we expect a production rate of about one scenario per
82month (subject to availability of computational resources and data).
83A number of these studies may not be conducted by the team, however,
84our assistance will certainly be required.
85
86
87
88\section*{Research topics}
89
90The list is
91
92\begin{enumerate} 
93  \item Sensitivity study using Onslow project (Nick, Jane, Ole)
94  The sensitivity to mesh resolution to be investigated. There are two aspects:
95  \begin{enumerate}
96    \item Resolution of triangles containing individual gauges. ANUGA
97    keeps track of the volume of water under each triangle. Pointwise
98    measurements away from triangle centroids may deviate
99    significantly from the true values due to the linear
100    reconstruction of triangle near steep bedslopes. One study would
101    provide an error estimate of the pointwise readings as a function
102    of resolution and slope.
103    \item How does resolution affect propagation of tsunami waves. One
104    could fix the resolution near gauges at selected points near and
105    on shore and vary resolution of bathymetry affecting the
106    approaching waves. Results reported as deviation at gauges as
107    function of bathymetric resolution upstream.
108  \end{enumerate}     
109  \begin{itemize}
110    \item Nick to do the runs 
111    \item Team to help setup the study and write document
112  \end{itemize}   
113 
114  \item Validation:
115  \begin{itemize}
116    \item Onslow tide gauges (Ole with David Burbidge)
117      \begin{itemize}
118      \item Ole to get data and terms of reference
119      \item Nick to do the runs 
120      \item Team to help setup the study and write document   
121    \end{itemize} 
122    \item Boxing day event (ANU contract 2006/2007 with Asavanant and Grilli)
123    \item Friction validation (Duncan with Tom Baldock UQ)
124    Duncan to get a sense of scope on this by June 2006.
125    Work to be done in 2006/2007.
126    \item PDC (Ole)
127    Ole to visit Pacifit Disaster Center in 6/7
128    \item 1953 Suva data from Tariq (someone)
129    Date is available. Ole to arrange for unpacking with GIS and scope project.
130    Could form a graduate project.
131    \item Comparison to tsunami study in NZ where Mike 21 is used for inundation. Contact: Rick Liefting, Coastal Scientist, Tonkin and Taylor Limited, www.tonkin.co.nz, Hamilton. Email: RLiefting@tonkin.co.nz   
132  \end{itemize} 
133  \item Comparison of MOST and ANUGA over a stretch of deep water. Also, where to pick up boundary condition (Nick).
134  \item Momentum sink study (Duncan with Nick Dando)
135  Report and talk by end of June 2006. Paper later.
136  \item Submarine landslide modelling paper with Dr Mueller or Russell Blong (Ask him), Sydney (Jane, Ole, Adrian/Monica, Matt).
137        Perhaps use Wollongong as the study area. 
138  \item Probabilistic integration with URS model, pending URS data (Ole, Trevor). Duncan to write urs2sww for boundary conditions. Ole to ask PDC. 
139  \item Effect of the GBR based on new LADS data (which we need to get from Phil O'brien).
140        This could become a graduate program, an ANU contract or a job for an ANU summer scholar
141        (see graduate\_proposal\_GBR.doc).
142  \item Comparing calculated run-up height with Synolakis' approximation
143        ($R = A^\frac{4}{5} h^ \frac{1}{5}$ where $A$ is the amplitude at some offshore location
144         and $h$ is the depth at the same offshore location). Calculate the maximum elevation
145         at which there is water. Need to confirm definition of run-up height.
146  \item Incorporate asteroid model (parabolic cavity) as an initial condition into ANUGA.
147        Compare calculated extent with the approximation of
148        run-in (or maximum extent) from Chesley and Ward 2006 where the run-in distance is approximated
149        by $X \approx 10 \sqrt{g R} D^\frac{3}{8}$ where $R$ is the run-up height and $D$ is the
150        asteroid diameter. Allows another event to be added to the overall
151        tsunami risk assessment. This could become a graduate or student project (see graduate\_proposal\_asteroid.doc).
152  \item Investigate the topographic effect on water flow and the impact on hydrological hazard (as part of the CRA
153        with NSW DNR and SES in contributing to the vulnerability assessment). This could become a graduate
154        or student project (see graduate\_proposal\_topography.doc).
155 
156  \item Scenario database (future); this could complement the ATWS
157    operational centre. (how often would it need to be updated, i.e how
158    long will the results remain valid?  eg, effect of sediment transport
159    affecting local bathymetry, change in sea levels due to climate
160    change). This is a product for the ATWS, states and EMA. AGO may need
161    scenarios under climate change scenarios.
162  \item Automatic definition of mesh-resolution based on data (e.g. depth or gradients). Perhaps use wavelet transforms. Stephen has a link to a researcher at Imperial College, London.
163  \item Investigate behaviour near steep and shallow bathymetries, where artifitial fluxes may be generated. Now evolved into 'friction creep'.
164    Stephen to look into that with input from Ole.
165  \item Effect of debris on flow and damage (Under way at JCU - shawn)
166  \item Write ANUGA in term of latitudes and longitudes
167  \item Incorporate coriolis effect for large study areas
168  \item Revive storm surge model (Rosh DNR)
169  \item Riverine flooding (Rosh DNR)
170  \item Collaboration with Hans Peter ?? (Stephen Roberts)
171  \item Solution uncertainty (interaction with Hugh Durrant-Whyte and
172  Suresh Kumar from USyd)
173\end{enumerate}
174No more than priority 1-4 are expected to complete before 30 June 2006.
175
176
177\section*{Development and maintenance issues.}
178
179The list is
180
181\begin{enumerate} 
182  \item Bug fixing (see tickets in TRAC) - ongoing (Duncan \& Ole)
183  \item Integrated damage modelling (Duncan)
184  \begin{itemize}
185    \item Calculation of inundation extent. Determine "wet" cells and
186    create the "extent$\_$polygon".
187        This polygon could then be used in damage modelling (rather than
188getting the building information
189        from the NBED and the GIS team to determine the set of those buildings
190which suffer inundation).
191        Script determine which buildings in extent by
192        inside$\_$polygon(building$\_$i,extent$\_$polygon) == True.
193   \end{itemize}
194  \item Streamlined end-to-end process including production management of files (Nick + Hamish, Neil, Ole, Jane, Duncan)
195  In addition to Nick's automatic log of scripts generating the data, also log username and ANUGA version if possible.
196 
197  \item Map2PDF vs ArcReader (Neil, Lisa)
198  \item Easy interface to building regions of variable resolution (Duncan)
199  \item Sydney demo (Jane, Duncan, Ole) - Ask
200  \item Deploy parallel version (Ole, Nick)
201  \item Userguide, technical documentation and installation process (Everyone)
202  \item OSS License (Ole)
203  \item Visualisation (Nick, Ole)
204  \begin{itemize}
205    \item Hand crafted using Houdini
206    \item Take Swollen-viewer further, e.g.\ by colour coding quantitios or applying contour plots
207    \item ANU work on new visualisation techniques
208  \end{itemize}
209  \item Automatic coastline buffering.
210    \item Improve memory efficiency of mesh generator.
211\end{enumerate}
212It is the hope that most of these priorities will be adressed before 30 June 2006.
213
214
215\section*{Roles and responsibilities}
216
217
218This is a first cut only. Please comment!
219
220
221\subsection*{Inundation modelling team (IMP)}
222\begin{enumerate} 
223  \item \textbf{Duncan}: Take responsibility for the code development
224  and maintenance. Represent the inundation modelling project in the
225  corporate IM context. Other responsibilities include
226  \begin{itemize}
227  \item IM
228  \item TRIM
229  \end{itemize}
230  Take responsibility for one or more research projects, and contribute to production on a needs basis. 
231  % Suggested work
232  % Production of one FESA study
233  % Boundary condition URS2SWW
234  % Damage modelling
235  \item \textbf{Jane}: Coordinate FESA production project, take responsibility for one or
236  more research projects and contribute to production and code development on a needs basis. In the longer term, maintenance of other stakeholder relationships (?).
237  \item \textbf{Nick}: Take responsibility for the production stream, develop visualisation techniques,
238  and contribute to code development on a needs basis. Other responsibilities include
239  \begin{itemize}
240  \item TRIM
241  \end{itemize}
242  \item \textbf{Ole}: Coordinate the inundation modelling project.
243  Manage the balance and requirements between the research, development and production stream.
244  Take responsibility for the code development and maintenance as well as one or more research projects.
245  Contribute to production on a needs basis. Other responsibilities include
246  \begin{itemize}
247  \item Programmers User Group and High Performance Computing issues.
248  \end{itemize} 
249\end{enumerate}
250
251
252\subsection*{Digital Elevation Modelling Team (DEM)}
253\begin{enumerate} 
254  \item \textbf{Hamish Anderson}: Coordinate collection and supply of
255  topographic and bathymetric data.   
256  \item \textbf{Mike Sexton}: Bathymetric data specialist.       
257  \item \textbf{Kathryn Tobyn}: Bathymetric data specialist.     
258\end{enumerate}   
259
260\subsection*{Earthquake and Tsunami Hazards (ETH)}
261\begin{enumerate} 
262  \item \textbf{David Burbidge}: Link to URS data; developing probabilistic hazard map
263  \item \textbf{Phil Cummins}: Team leader
264\end{enumerate}   
265
266\subsection*{GIS team}
267\begin{enumerate} 
268  \item \textbf{Neil Corby}: Coordinate development of GIS decision tool.
269    Assist with collection and supply of topographic data. 
270  \item \textbf{Ingo Hartig}: Development of GIS decision tool.
271    Assist with collection, supply and validation of topographic data.   
272    Assist IMP with genaral GIS visualisation. 
273  \item \textbf{Lisa Cornish}: Arcview exposure database with Neil
274\end{enumerate}   
275
276
277\begin{figure}
278
279  \centerline{ \includegraphics[width=75mm, height=75mm]{information_flow.eps}}
280
281
282\caption{Diagram showing information flow among the teams comprising the FESA project.}
283\label{fig:information flow}
284\end{figure}
285
286
287\subsection*{Other stakeholders}
288\begin{enumerate} 
289  \item \textbf{Stephen Roberts (ANU)}: Contribute to research and further development of
290  ANUGA.   
291  \item \textbf{Linda Stals (ANU)}: Develop parallel version of ANUGA.     
292  \item \textbf{Adrian Hitchman and Monica Osuchowski}: Provide input to submarine landslide research.
293  \item \textbf{Trevor Dhu}: Develop new engagements with external
294  stakeholders such as state governments. Assist with development of probabilistic modelling.
295  \item Others?
296\end{enumerate}
297
298
299   
300\subsection*{Potential contacts}
301
302\begin{itemize} 
303  \item Lex Nielsen from SMEC in order to explore
304    how they can get involved
305  \item Lutz Grosz from ACcESS
306  \item Tom Baldock UQ
307  \item Tariq Rahiman (tir14@student.canterbury.ac.nz, tariq@mrd.gov.fj) (Suva scenario)
308  \item Allen L. Clark PDC (aclark@pdc.org)
309  \item Roy Walters, NIWA (tsunami modelling)
310  \item Russell Blong, Benfield (landslide modelling)
311  \item Ray Steedman, WA oceanography (By way of Norm Schramm)
312  \item Rosh Ranasinghe (DPNR)
313  \item Suresh Kumar (ACFR)
314\end{itemize}     
315
316   
317\subsection*{Resources}   
318   
319The allocation to the different streams from the core inundation modelling team in terms of
3204 full time equivalents (FTE) are
321
322\begin{itemize} 
323\item \textbf{Production}: 1.25 FTE  (Mainly Nick)
324\item \textbf{Research}: 1 FTE
325\item \textbf{Code development and maintenance}: 1 FTE
326\item \textbf{Management}: 0.75 FTE (0.5 WA-FESA Project coordination, 0.25 TEAM)
327\end{itemize}
328
329
330\chapter{Personnel availability}
331
332\begin{itemize}
333  \item \textbf{Duncan}: 4 days/week
334  \item \textbf{Jane}: Three weeks leave in the period 15 June 2006 to 15 July 2006
335    Ole to cover Jane's commitments.
336  \item \textbf{Nick}: Leave from 21 August 2006 to 13 October 2006
337    Duncan to cover off on the production line.
338  \item \textbf{Ole}: Leave for six weeks around August or September.
339    Jane to be acting team leader with Duncan responsible for
340    software and maintenance issues.
341\end{itemize}
342
343
344
345\chapter{Detailed planning}
346
347Needs updating
348
349\section{Validation of ANUGA}
350
351\subsection{Laboratory Data}
35225 July 2005: Benchmark data from wave tank experiments
353were deemed suitable for
354initial validation exercises and we should proceed with these
355immediately using the existing acquired datasets.  In addition, data
356from vertical wall run-ups will be relevant.  Andrew's letter to key
357players regarding other existing laboratory datasets is deemed
358extremely valuable and should go ahead.
359This has now completed in the form of the Okushiri island validation
360
3617 April 2006: Next exercise along these lines seems to be wavetank
362data from UQ as conducted by Tom Baldock et al. These experiments
363include friction. Duncan will visit Tom in May and possibly conduct a
364validation project depending on his findings.
365
366
367
368\subsection{Historical Data}
369Andrew McPherson has contacted relevant organisations regarding sources and
370availability of existing post-tsunami field survey data.  We agreed
371that a scenario from e.g. Banda Aceh or Thailand (Phuket)
372demonstrating the detailed effect of bathymetric variations would be
373an ideal study and could form the basis of a scientific paper. Matt is
374considering whether this would fit into his research priorities.
375
376Promising leads are
377\begin{itemize}
378  \item Suva data (Tariq)
379  \item Boxing day event conducted by the Grilli and Asavanant (Stephen Roberts). This has been flagged as a \$15K ANU project in FY 6/7
380  \item The Connection to Sri Lanka (John Schneider)
381\end{itemize}
382
383 
384\subsection{Other}
385Validation against analytical solutions is well under way and
386is considered an integral component of the validation process.
387The same is true for the Lake Merimbula tidal validation project.
388Stephen, John Jakeman and Chris are looking after these.
389
390
391   
392
393\section{Potential joint PhD projects (GA and ANU)}
394Ole to investigate if GA would fund a PhD student: Project could be
395"Algorithms for augmentation of unstructured grids" or "Algorithms for
396unification of geodesic systems in unstructured grids" the latter
397capturing the notion of being able to model the synoptic, deep water
398wave propagation in latitudes and longitudes with a seemless connection
399to detailed modelling using UTM projections.
400A PhD scholarship is worth about \$20K per annum.
401
4027 April 2006: We are putting \$10K in the 06-07 budget.
403
404\section{Other projects}
405LADS (laser airborne depth sounder) data is available from the Hydrographer's Officer
406for the Great Barrier Reef. A project investigating whether or not a tsunami wave
407is attentuated by the reef would be a real benefit to the ATWS (to inform whether
408North Queensland is vulnerable).
409
410\section{Long term aim}
411
412We agreed that having a detailed, reproducible and validated
413inundation scenario from the Boxing Day Tsunami running in parallel
414(and being faster than the sequential code) would be a worthwhile goal.   
415   
416   
417\end{document}
418
419
420
Note: See TracBrowser for help on using the repository browser.