1 | |
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2 | This section deals with impact modelling which covers damage |
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3 | modelling and economic impact analysis. |
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4 | |
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5 | Damage modelling refers to damage |
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6 | to infrastructure as a result |
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7 | of the inundation described in the previous sections. The infrastructure |
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8 | refers to residential structures only and is sourced from the |
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9 | the National Building Exposure Database (NBED). The NBED has been |
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10 | created by Geoscience Australia so that consistent risk assessments for a range |
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11 | of natural hazards can be |
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12 | conducted\footnote{http://www.ga.gov.au/urban/projects/ramp/NBED.jsp}. |
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13 | It contains information |
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14 | about residential buildings, people, infrastructure, |
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15 | structure value and building contents. |
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16 | From this database, we find that there |
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17 | are 325 residential structures and a population of approximately 770 |
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18 | in Onslow\footnote{Population is determined by census data and an ABS |
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19 | housing survey}. |
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20 | |
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21 | Impact on indigeneous communities are important considerations when determining |
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22 | tsunami impact, especially as a number of communities exist in coastal regions. |
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23 | These communities are typically not included in national residential databases |
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24 | and would be therefore overlooked in damage model estimates. |
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25 | There is one indigeneous community located in this study area as seen |
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26 | in Figure |
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27 | \ref{fig:points}. The population of the Bindibindi community is 140 |
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28 | and is situated below the 1.5m AHD contour as seen in Figure \ref{fig:points} |
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29 | which indicates it is inundated prior to the tsunami wave arriving. |
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30 | At 0m AHD, over 3m of water will inundate parts of the community (Figure |
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31 | \ref{fig:gaugeBindiBindiCommunity}) indicating 100\% damage of contents. |
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32 | |
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33 | Once the maximum inundation is calculated for each building, the resultant |
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34 | damage |
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35 | can be determined as a function of its type and location from the |
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36 | coastline, \cite{ken:damage}. The damage to the residential |
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37 | structures in the Onslow community |
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38 | is summarised in Table \ref{table:damageoutput}. The percentage |
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39 | of repair cost to structural value shown is based on the total structural value |
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40 | of \$60,187,955. Likewise, the percentage of contents loss shown is |
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41 | based on the total contents value of \$85,410,060 for |
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42 | the Onslow region. The injuries sustained in each scenario is summarised |
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43 | in Table \ref{table:injuries}. Around 21\% |
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44 | of the population are affected in the 1.5m AHD scenario with around 10\% |
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45 | affected in the 0m AHD scenario. |
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46 | |
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47 | |
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48 | \begin{table}[h] |
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49 | \label{table:damageoutput} |
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50 | \caption{Residential damage sustained for 1.5m, 0m and -1.5m AHD |
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51 | scenarios.} |
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52 | \begin{center} |
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53 | \begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|}\hline |
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54 | & Houses & Houses & Structural & Repair Cost \% & Contents & Contents Loss \% \\ |
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55 | & Inundation & Collapsed & Repair Cost |
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56 | & of Total Value & Losses & of Total Value \\ \hline |
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57 | 1.5m AHD & 90 & 14 & \$10,951,887 & 18.2 \% & \$24,020,309 & 28.12 \%\\ \hline |
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58 | 0m AHD & 54 & 1 & \$5,317,783 & 8.8 \% & \$11,592,602 & 13.6 \% \\ \hline |
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59 | -1.5m AHD & 0 & 0 & 0& 0& 0& 0\\ \hline |
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60 | \end{tabular} |
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61 | \end{center} |
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62 | \end{table} |
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63 | |
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64 | \begin{table}[h] |
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65 | \label{table:injuries} |
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66 | \caption{Injuries sustained for 1.5m, 0m and -1.5m AHD scenarios.} |
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67 | \begin{center} |
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68 | \begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|l|l|}\hline |
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69 | & Minor & Moderate & Serious & Fatal \\ \hline |
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70 | 1.5m AHD & 59 & 17 & 8 & 83 \\ \hline |
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71 | 0m AHD & 43 & 11 & 6 & 20 \\ \hline |
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72 | -1.5m AHD & 0 & 0 & 0 & \\ \hline |
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73 | \end{tabular} |
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74 | \end{center} |
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75 | \end{table} |
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76 | |
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77 | discussion on Mary's outputs |
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78 | |
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