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2 | This report is being provided to the Fire and Emergency Services Authority |
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3 | (FESA) as part of the Collaborative Research Agreement (CRA) |
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4 | with Geoscience Australia (GA). |
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5 | FESA recognises the potential vulnerability of the Western Australia |
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6 | coastline to tsunamigenic earthquakes originating from |
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7 | the Sunda Arc subduction zone that caused the December 2004 event which |
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8 | fortunately had no impact on Australia. |
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9 | However, there is historic evidence of tsunami events affecting the |
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10 | Western Australia coastline, \cite{CB:ausgeo}, |
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11 | and FESA has sought to assess |
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12 | the relative risk of its urban and regional communities to the tsunami |
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13 | threat and develop detailed response plans for a range of plausible events. |
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14 | |
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15 | This report is the first in a series of studies |
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16 | for input to the suite of tsunami assessments for the North West |
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17 | Shelf. Subsequent reports will not only |
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18 | describe studies for other localities, they will also revisit these |
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19 | scenarios as more refined hazard models with associated return rates |
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20 | become available. In this report, |
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21 | the methods, assumptions and impacts of a |
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22 | single tsunami source scenario is described for the Onslow area in the |
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23 | North West shelf region. |
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24 | Onslow has a population of around 800 |
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25 | is part of the Shire of Ashburton in the Pilbara region of |
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26 | Western Autralia\footnote{http://www.pdc.wa.gov.au/region/political.htm}. |
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27 | Onslow supports |
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28 | a variety of industries, including oil, gas, mining, cattle, |
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29 | fishing and tourism. |
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30 | |
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31 | The report will outline the methods of modelling the tsunami from its |
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32 | source to its impact ashore and present the predicted consequences. |
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33 | The scenario used for this study has an unknown |
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34 | return period, however it |
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35 | is a plausible event, see Section \ref{sec:tsunamiscenario}. |
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36 | Future studies |
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37 | will present a series of scenarios for a range of return periods to |
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38 | assist FESA in developing appropriate plans for a range of event impacts. |
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39 | The details of the hazard modelling will not be described here, however, |
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40 | the modelling technique to simulate the |
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41 | impact ashore will be discussed in Section \ref{sec:anuga} with data inputs |
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42 | discussed in Section \ref{sec:data}. |
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43 | The inundation results will be shown and discussed in Section \ref{sec:results} |
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44 | with the impact modelling outputs shown in Section \ref{sec:impact}. |
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45 | The report concludes with a summary of the results detailing issues |
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46 | regarding underlying data and further model development. |
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47 | |
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