Changeset 3232 for production/onslow_2006/report
- Timestamp:
- Jun 26, 2006, 2:48:51 PM (19 years ago)
- Location:
- production/onslow_2006/report
- Files:
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- 7 edited
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production/onslow_2006/report/anuga.tex
r3217 r3232 9 9 according to areas of interest and that wetting and drying 10 10 is treated robustly as part of the numerical scheme. 11 ANUGA is continually being developed and validated. 11 ANUGA is continually being developed and validated to ensure 12 the modelling approximations reflect new theory or 13 available experimental data sets. 12 14 As such, the current results represent ongoing work 13 15 and may change in the future. … … 22 24 \item boundary condition (the tsunami source as described in 23 25 Section \ref{sec:tsunamiscenario}) 24 \item forcing terms (such as wind)25 26 \item computational requirements relating to the mesh construction 26 27 \end{itemize} 27 28 28 As part of the CRA, it was decided to provide results for the 29 extremes of the tidal regimes to understand the potential range of impacts 30 from the event. Onslow is termed a Standard Port 31 by the Australian Hydrographic Service, with tidal 32 predictions based on continuous observation of the tide 33 over a period of at least one year, however it is advised that these 34 observations extend to three years to note changes in the mean 35 sea level. The Australian National Tide Tables 2006 \cite{antt:06} 36 describes how 37 these predictions are rounded to two decimal places, then 38 further rounded to a single decimal place. 39 Figure \ref{fig:ic} shows the contour lines for 40 the values for 41 Highest Astronomical Tide (HAT; 1.5m AHD), Mean Sea Level (MSL; 0m AHD) 42 and Lowest Astronomical Tide (LAT; -1.5m AHD) for Onslow, \cite{antt:06}. 43 It is evident from this figure that significant areas of Onslow are 44 inundated before the simulation is even begun indicating 45 shortcomings with the underlying data set. Therefore, we use only 46 one initial condition for this scenario; 0m AHD. Further 47 discussion surrounding the data and its sources is described in 48 Sections \ref{sec:data} and \ref{sec:metadata}. 49 %It is important to note that there is no Bureau of Metereoolgy 50 %tide gauge in Onslow, 51 As an aside, a current GA contract is 52 extracting information from LANDSAT imagery to reconstruct the 53 tidal variations for various WA locations. Future modelling of 54 these areas will incorporate this information. 55 Further, the dynamics of 29 The initial condition used for this scenario is 0m Australian Height Datum 30 which is approximately equal to Mean Sea Level. 31 The dynamics of 56 32 tidal effects (that is, the changes in water height over time for 57 33 the entire study area) is not currently modelled. 58 %In the simulations provided in this report, we assume that59 %increase of water height for the initial condition is spatially consistent60 %for the study region.61 34 Bottom friction will generally provide resistance to the water flow 62 35 and thus reduce the impact somewhat. However, it is an open area 63 36 of research on how to determine the friction coefficients, and 64 37 thus it has not been incorporated 65 in the scenario spresented in this report. Therefore, the38 in the scenario presented in this report. Therefore, the 66 39 results presented are over estimated to some degree. 67 68 \begin{figure}[hbt]69 70 \centerline{ \includegraphics[width=150mm, height=100mm]71 {../report_figures/contours.jpg}}72 73 \caption{Onslow regions showing the 1.5m AHD, 0m AHD and -1.5m AHD contour lines.}74 \label{fig:ic}75 \end{figure} -
production/onslow_2006/report/computational_setup.tex
r3201 r3232 86 86 the boundary (the 100m contour line as shown in Figure \ref{fig:onslow_area}) 87 87 and continues to propagate the wave in shallow water and onshore. 88 To illustrate the form of the tsunami wave, we show the form 89 of the tsunami wave moving through the point locations 90 shown in \ref{fig:pointline3d}. This time history is 91 shown as a surface in Figure \ref{fig:MOSTsolution}. 92 93 \begin{figure}[hbt] 94 95 \centerline{ \includegraphics[width=100mm, height=75mm] 96 {../report_figures/point_line_3d.png}} 97 98 \caption{Point locations used to show form of tsunami wave.} 99 \label{fig:pointline3d} 100 \end{figure} 101 102 \begin{figure}[hbt] 103 104 \centerline{ \includegraphics[width=100mm, height=75mm] 105 {../report_figures/solution_surfaceMOST.png}} 106 107 \caption{Time history of tsunami wave.} 108 \label{fig:MOSTsolution} 109 \end{figure} 88 To illustrate the form of the tsunami wave, we show the 89 tsunami wave moving through the point locations 90 (Figure \ref{fig:MOSTsolution}(a)). This time history is 91 shown as a surface in Figure \ref{fig:MOSTsolution}(b). 110 92 111 93 94 \begin{figure}[hbt] 95 \centering 96 \begin{tabular}{cc} 97 \includegraphics[width=0.49\linewidth, height=50mm]{../report_figures/point_line_3d.png}& 98 \includegraphics[width=0.49\linewidth, height=50mm]{../report_figures/solution_surfaceMOST.png}\\ 99 \end{tabular} 100 \caption{(1) Point locations used to illustrate form of tsunami wave. 101 (2) Time hisorty of tsunami wave)} 102 \label{fig:MOSTsolution} 103 \end{figure} -
production/onslow_2006/report/damage.tex
r3221 r3232 1 1 2 This section deals with impact modelling which covers damage3 modelling and economic impact analysis.4 5 Damage modelling refers todamage6 to infrastructure as a result 7 of the inundation described in the previous sections. The infrastructure2 %This section deals with impact modelling which covers damage 3 %modelling and economic impact analysis. 4 In this report, impact modelling refers to damage as a result 5 of the inundation described in Section \ref{sec:results}. This damage 6 is reported as to damage to infrastructure as well as 7 number of human injuries. The infrastructure 8 8 refers to residential structures only and is sourced from the 9 9 the National Building Exposure Database (NBED). The NBED has been … … 34 34 residential collapse probability models and casualty models and their 35 35 application to inundation modelling. 36 37 There is a paucity of data on the tsunami vulnerability of buildings. 38 With reference to the limited data found in the international literature, 36 With limited data found in the international literature, 39 37 along with reported observations made of building performance during the 40 38 recent Indian Ocean tsunami, vulnerability models have been proposed for -
production/onslow_2006/report/damage_inputs.tex
r3221 r3232 7 7 \begin{tabular}{|l|l|l|l|l|l|}\hline 8 8 Building Location & 9 <1.0 & 1.0<h<2.0& 2.0<h<3.0 &3.0<h<5.0 &>5.0 \\ \hline9 $h$<1.0 &1.0<$h$<2.0& 2.0<$h$<3.0 &3.0<$h$<5.0 &$h$>5.0 \\ \hline 10 10 First 2 Rows 11 11 (1st block) &0.05 &0.6 &0.8 &0.95 &0.99 \\ \hline -
production/onslow_2006/report/introduction.tex
r3169 r3232 13 13 threat and develop detailed response plans for a range of plausible events. 14 14 15 This report is the first in a series of studies assessing the relative 16 risk to the tsunami threat. Subsequent reports will not only 15 This report is the first in a series of studies which 16 becomes a component of the suite of tsunami assessments for the North West 17 Shelf. 18 Subsequent reports will not only 17 19 describe studies for other localities, they will also revisit these 18 scenarios as more refined hazard models become available. In this report, 20 scenarios as more refined hazard models with associated return rates 21 become available. In this report, 19 22 the methods, assumptions and impacts of a 20 23 single tsunami source scenario is described for the Onslow area in the -
production/onslow_2006/report/modelling_methodology.tex
r3222 r3232 1 Tsunami hazard models have been available some time. They generally1 Tsunami hazard models have been available for some time. They generally 2 2 work by converting the energy released by a subduction earthquake into 3 3 a vertical displacement of the ocean surface. The resulting wave is … … 18 18 \cite{matsuyama:1999}. To model the 19 19 details of tsunami inundation of a community one must therefore capture what is 20 known as non-linear effects and use a much higher resolution for the elevation data. 21 The model ANUGA (\cite{ON:modsim}) is suitable for this type of modelling. 20 known as non-linear effects and use a much higher resolution for the 21 elevation data. 22 Linear models typically use data resolutions of the order 23 of hundreds of metres, which is sufficient to model long wavelength tsunami waves. 24 Non-linear models by contrast require much finer resolution in order to capture 25 the complexity associated the water flow from off to onshore. The data 26 resolution is typically of the order of tens of metres. 27 The model ANUGA (\cite{ON:modsim}) is suitable for this type of non-linear 28 modelling. 29 22 30 However, using a non-linear model capable of resolving local bathymetric effects 23 31 and runup using detailed elevation data will require much more computational … … 46 54 {../report_figures/refined_mesh.jpg}} 47 55 48 \caption{ Computationalmesh with variable resolution.}56 \caption{Unstructured mesh with variable resolution.} 49 57 \label{fig:refinedmesh} 50 58 \end{figure} -
production/onslow_2006/report/tsunami_scenario.tex
r3169 r3232 11 11 could potentially be as high as 9. 12 12 13 Current studies underway in GA are building probabilistic 13 FESA are interested in the ``most frequent worst case scenario''. Whilst 14 we currently cannot determine exactly what that event may be, the Mw 9 event 15 provides a plausible worst case scenario. To understand the 16 frequency of these tsunami-genic events, 17 current studies underway in GA are building probabilistic 14 18 models to develop a more complete tsunami hazard assessment 15 19 for the Sunda Arc subduction zone, … … 19 23 they are likely to pose a comparatively low and more localised hazard to WA. 20 24 21 FESA are interested in the ``most frequent worst case scenario''. Whilst22 we cannot determine exactly what that event may be, the Mw 9 event provides23 a plausible worst case scenario.24 25 25 Figure \ref{fig:mw9} shows the maximum wave height at the 50m contour 26 26 for a Mw 9 event off 27 27 the coast of Java. It is this event which provides the source and 28 28 boundary condition to the 29 inundation model presented in this report. Description of the boundary 30 condition particular to the Onslow study area 31 follows in Section \ref{sec:anuga}. 29 inundation model presented in Section \ref{sec:anuga}. 32 30 33 31
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