Changeset 7219
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- Jun 18, 2009, 5:34:10 PM (16 years ago)
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anuga_work/publications/boxing_day_validation_2008/patong_validation.tex
r7217 r7219 52 52 influence of inundation extent. Sensitivity analysis also showed that 53 53 the model predictions are comparatively insensitive to large changes 54 in friction and small perturbations in wave weight at the 100 m depth54 in friction and small perturbations in wave weight at the 100 m depth 55 55 contour. 56 56 % to be added when submitted to ocean dynamics … … 372 372 Human made build and structures can significantly effect tsunami 373 373 inundation. The location and size and number of floors of the 374 buildings in Patong Bay were extracted from a GIS data set provide by 375 the CCOP in Thailand (\cite{FIXME from RICHARD}). The heights of these 374 buildings in Patong Bay were extracted from a GIS data set provided by 375 the CCOP in Thailand (see acknowledgements at the end of this paper). 376 The heights of these 376 377 buildings were estimated assuming that each floor has a height of 3 m. 377 378 … … 389 390 al~\cite{szczucinski06} for further details. 390 391 391 \subsubsection{Eyewitness Accounts} 392 FIXME (Ole): I think we should move this to where the results are 393 presented. Eyewitness accounts detailed in~\cite{papadopoulos06} 392 \subsubsection{Eyewitness Accounts}\label{sec:eyewitness data} 393 Eyewitness accounts detailed in~\cite{papadopoulos06} 394 394 report that most people at Patong Beach observed an initial retreat of 395 395 the shoreline of more than 100 m followed a few minutes later by a … … 399 399 minutes after the source rupture (09:55am to 10:05am local time). 400 400 401 Two videos were sourced from the internet (FIXME: Where?) which402 include footage of the tsunami in Patong Bay on the day of the Indian 403 Ocean Tsunami. Both videos show an already inundated group of 404 buildings, they then show what is to be assumed as the second and405 third waves approaching and further flooding the town. The first video 406 is in the very north filmed from what is believed to be the roof of 407 the Novotel Hotel marked 'North' in Figure401 Two videos were sourced from the internet (FIXME: Richar is chasing 402 this up) which include footage of the tsunami in Patong Bay on the day 403 of the Indian Ocean Tsunami. Both videos show an already inundated 404 group of buildings, they then show what is to be assumed as the second 405 and third waves approaching and further flooding the buildings and 406 street. The first video is in the very north filmed from what is 407 believed to be the roof of the Novotel Hotel marked 'North' in Figure 408 408 \ref{fig:gauge_locations}. The second video is in the very south 409 filmed from a building next door to the Comfort Resort near the corner410 of Ruam Chai St and FIXME(Ole): XXXX. This location is marked 'south' 411 in Figure \ref{fig:gauge_locations} and Figure~\ref{fig:video_flow} 412 shows stills from this video. Both videos were used to estimate flow 413 speeds and inundation dephts over time.409 filmed from the second story of a building next door to the Comfort 410 Resort near the corner of Ruam Chai St and Thaweewong Road. This 411 location is marked 'south' in Figure \ref{fig:gauge_locations} and 412 Figure~\ref{fig:video_flow} shows stills from this video. Both videos 413 were used to estimate flow speeds and inundation dephts over time. 414 414 415 415 \begin{figure}[ht] … … 429 429 were found to be in the range of 5 to 7 metres per second (+/- 2 m/s) 430 430 in the north and 0.5 to 2 metres per second (+/- 1 m/s) in the south. 431 Water depths could also 432 be estimated from the videos by the level at which water rose up the 433 sides of buildings such as shops. Our estimates are in the order of 434 1.5 to 2.0 metres (+/- 0.5 m). 435 Fritz ~\cite{fritz06} performed a detailed 436 analysis of video frames taken around Banda Aceh and arrived at flow 437 speeds in the range of 2 to 5 m/s. 431 438 432 439 \begin{figure}[ht] … … 810 817 timeseries are shown in Figure \ref{fig:onshore_timeseries}. The 811 818 latter coincide with locations where video footage from the event is 812 available .819 available as described in Section \ref{sec:eyewitness data}. 813 820 814 821 \begin{figure}[ht] … … 839 846 \end{figure} 840 847 841 FIXME(Ole): This is a repetition of an earlier section. I'll look at 842 that soon. 843 Crude flow rates can be estimated with landmarks found in 844 satellite imagery and the use of a GIS and were found to be in the 845 range of 5 to 7 metres per second (+/- 2 m/s) in the north and 0.5 to 846 2 metres per second (+/- 1 m/s) in the south. This is in agreement 847 with results from our simulations. Our modelled flow rates show 848 maximum values in the order of 0.2 to 2.6 m/s in the south and 0.1 to 849 3.3 m/s for the north as shown in the figures. Water depths could also 850 be estimated from the videos by the level at which water rose up the 851 sides of buildings such as shops. Our estimates are in the order of 852 1.5 to 2.0 metres (+/- 0.5 m). This is in the same range as our 853 modelled maximum depths of 1.4 m in the north and 1.5 m in the south 854 as seen in the figure. Fritz ~\cite{fritz06} performed a detailed 855 analysis of video frames taken around Banda Aceh and arrived at flow 856 speeds in the range of 2 to 5 m/s. 848 849 The estimated depths and flow rates given in Section \ref{sec:eyewitness data} are shown 850 together with the modelled depths and flow rates obtained from the model in 851 Table \ref{tab:depth and flow comparisons}. 852 853 \begin{table} 854 \[ 855 \begin{array}{|l|cc|cc|} 856 \hline 857 & \multicolumn{2}{|c|}{\mbox{Depth [m]}} 858 & \multicolumn{2}{c|}{\mbox{Flow [m/s]}} \\ 859 & \mbox{Observed} & \mbox{Modelled} 860 & \mbox{Observed} & \mbox{Modelled} \\ \cline{2-5} 861 \mbox{North} & 1.5-2 & 1.4 & 5-7 & 0.1 - 3.3 \\ 862 \mbox{South} & 1.5-2 & 1.5 & 0.5-2 & 0.2 - 2.6 \\ \hline 863 \end{array} 864 \] 865 \label{tab:depth and flow comparisons} 866 \end{table} 867 868 %can be estimated with landmarks found in 869 %satellite imagery and the use of a GIS and were found to be in the 870 %range of 5 to 7 metres per second (+/- 2 m/s) in the north and 0.5 to 871 %2 metres per second (+/- 1 m/s) in the south. 872 873 Given the uncertainties in both model and observations, there is agreement 874 between the values obtained from the videos and the simulations. 875 876 % Our modelled flow rates show 877 %maximum values in the order of 0.2 to 2.6 m/s in the south and 0.1 to 878 %3.3 m/s for the north as shown in the figures. Water depths could also 879 %be estimated from the videos by the level at which water rose up the 880 %sides of buildings such as shops. Our estimates are in the order of 881 %1.5 to 2.0 metres (+/- 0.5 m). This is in the same range as our 882 %modelled maximum depths of 1.4 m in the north and 1.5 m in the south 883 %as seen in the figure. 884 857 885 858 886 … … 863 891 \label{sec:sensitivity} 864 892 This section investigates the effect of different values of Manning's 865 friction coefficient, changing waveheight at the 100 m depth contour,893 friction coefficient, changing waveheight at the 100 m depth contour, 866 894 and the presence and absence of buildings in the elevation dataset on 867 895 model maximum inundation. … … 958 986 959 987 A simple sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the influence of 960 small changes in friction, wave-height at the 100 m depth contour and988 small changes in friction, wave-height at the 100 m depth contour and 961 989 the presence of buildings and other structures on the model 962 990 predictions. The presence of buildings has the greatest influence on … … 970 998 of Mathematics, The Australian National University. The authors would 971 999 like to thank Niran Chaimanee from the CCOP, Thailand for providing 972 the post 2004 tsunami survey data and the elevation data for Patong 973 beach, Prapasri Asawakun from the Suranaree University of Technology 974 and Parida Kuneepong for supporting this work; and Drew Whitehouse 975 from the Australian National University for preparing the animation. 1000 the post 2004 tsunami survey data, building footprints, aereal 1001 photography and the elevation data for Patong beach, Prapasri Asawakun 1002 from the Suranaree University of Technology and Parida Kuneepong for 1003 supporting this work; and Drew Whitehouse from the Australian National 1004 University for preparing the animation. 976 1005 977 1006 \section{Appendix}
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