[3240] | 1 | |
---|
| 2 | This report is being provided to the Fire and Emergency Services Authority |
---|
| 3 | (FESA) as part of the Collaborative Research Agreement (CRA) |
---|
| 4 | with Geoscience Australia (GA). |
---|
| 5 | FESA recognises the potential vulnerability of the Western Australia |
---|
| 6 | coastline to tsunamigenic earthquakes originating from |
---|
| 7 | the Sunda Arc subduction zone that caused the December 2004 event which |
---|
| 8 | fortunately had no impact on Australia. |
---|
| 9 | However, there is historic evidence of tsunami events affecting the |
---|
| 10 | Western Australia coastline, \cite{CB:ausgeo}, |
---|
| 11 | and FESA has sought to assess |
---|
| 12 | the relative risk of its urban and regional communities to the tsunami |
---|
| 13 | threat and develop detailed response plans for a range of plausible events. |
---|
| 14 | |
---|
| 15 | This report is the first in a series of studies which |
---|
| 16 | go towards building the suite of tsunami assessments for the North West |
---|
| 17 | Shelf. |
---|
| 18 | Subsequent reports will not only |
---|
| 19 | describe studies for other localities, they will also revisit these |
---|
| 20 | scenarios as more refined hazard models with associated return rates |
---|
| 21 | become available. In this report, |
---|
| 22 | the methods, assumptions and impacts of a |
---|
| 23 | single tsunami source scenario is described for the Onslow area in the |
---|
| 24 | North West shelf region. |
---|
| 25 | Onslow has a population of around 800 |
---|
| 26 | is part of the Shire of Ashburton in the Pilbara region of |
---|
| 27 | Western Autralia\footnote{http://www.pdc.wa.gov.au/region/political.htm}. |
---|
| 28 | Onslow supports |
---|
| 29 | a variety of industries, including oil, gas, mining, cattle, |
---|
| 30 | fishing and tourism. |
---|
| 31 | |
---|
| 32 | The report will outline the methods of modelling the tsunami from its |
---|
| 33 | source to its impact ashore and present the predicted consequences. |
---|
| 34 | The scenario used for this study has an unknown |
---|
| 35 | return period, however it |
---|
| 36 | can be classed as a plausible event, see Section \ref{sec:tsunamiscenario}. |
---|
| 37 | Future studies |
---|
| 38 | will present a series of scenarios for a range of return periods to |
---|
| 39 | assist FESA in developing appropriate plans for a range of event impacts. |
---|
| 40 | The details of the hazard modelling will not be described here, however, |
---|
| 41 | the modelling technique to simulate the |
---|
| 42 | impact ashore will be discussed in Section \ref{sec:anuga} with data inputs |
---|
| 43 | discussed in Section \ref{sec:data}. |
---|
| 44 | The inundation results will be shown and discussed in Section \ref{sec:results} |
---|
| 45 | with the impact modelling outputs shown in Section \ref{sec:impact}. |
---|
| 46 | The report concludes with a summary of the results detailing issues |
---|
| 47 | regarding underlying data and further model development. |
---|
| 48 | |
---|